Fashion and music serve as barometers of societal norms and trends, often starting as avant-garde movements that only appeal to a niche audience. These trends typically evolve through a predictable lifecycle: emerging from obscurity, gaining mainstream popularity, and eventually facing obsolescence before possibly being revived in a new form. Artists like Björk and Lady Gaga exemplify how initially unconventional choices in music and fashion can eventually set new standards. Historically, industry gatekeepers such as critics, radio stations, editors and buyers played crucial roles in promoting emerging talents. However, the digital era has democratized this process, allowing artists and designers to directly engage with their audience, before being subsumed into the system.

Despite this shift, the pathway to mass acclaim remains challenging. While some trends and artists achieve long-term success, becoming "legacy brands" or "legacy artists" like U2, Paul McCartney, Metallica in music and Dior, Chanel, and Levi's in fashion; others may never progress beyond a long-term or even cult following. However, reaching the pinnacle of popularity can also lead to perceptions of over-commercialization, with original supporters often seeking out the next new trend.

This cycle of rise and fall is not only inevitable but also profitable, as established names capitalize on brand recognition. Yet, the quest for "coolness" ensures that the market remains in constant flux, with yesterday's revolutionary trends becoming today's mainstream and tomorrow's passé. Interestingly, obsolescence doesn't mark the end; it often sets the stage for a resurgence, as seen in the current fascination among Gen-Z with vintage or retro styles, including band T-shirts from the likes of Nirvana and The Smashing Pumpkins.

This cyclical nature of fashion and music underscores the ongoing dialogue between commercialization and creativity, highlighting the intricate relationship between evolving cultural values and the ever-changing landscape of trends.

* * *

A closer look at the trend lifecycle bell-curve:

1. Outré - The initial stage where the idea or trend is novel and not yet widely accepted or recognized.

2. Rise - This phase marks the trend's increasing popularity or the idea's growing acceptance.

3. Culmination - The peak of the curve, representing the zenith of popularity, effectiveness, or utility.

4. Decline - Following the peak, this stage reflects a decrease in popularity or usefulness.

5. Obsolescence - The final phase, where the trend or idea is no longer considered useful or in vogue.